With less than three weeks to Election Day, Democrats and Republicans remain in a near tie on the Generic Congressional Ballot.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone and online survey finds that 45% of Likely U.S. Voters would choose the Democratic candidate if the elections for Congress were held today. Forty-four percent (44%) would opt for the Republican. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and seven percent (7%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
Since Rasmussen Reports began the weekly surveying in early May, Democrats have led every week but one in mid-August when the two parties were tied at 44% apiece. But the Generic Congressional Ballot tightened up into a tie last week following the conclusion of the controversial Senate confirmation of U.S. Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh.
Note that the Democrats led in polling until AFTER Kavanaugh was sworn in, at which time the Republicans ascended to equal with the Democrats. That is at least a little upward momentum for the Right (or rather, since it is Republicans we are talking about here, “Right-ish”.)
Separate surveying found that Republicans are madder about the Kavanaugh controversy than Democrats are and more determined to vote in the upcoming elections because of it. This is good. Every conservative should vote as often as possible, every election 🙂
As voters get ready to head to the polls in the upcoming elections, voters are much more confident in Congress these days on the heels of the Kavanaugh confirmation than they have been in more than a year. This is also a very positive pro-Right observation by Rasmussen. Citing or measuring such an increase in confidence, coupled with the confirmation of Kavanaugh, speaks well of a conservative win in November. Looking at the next paragraph, “voters also disagree with Clinton” – and do not expect “things to improve” is Democrats gain control of the House of Representatives. This also is positive for the Right, as a win for the Left is not viewed as a step up from where we are now.
If the generic voters (not undecided, but a prototypical American voter) see a Dem win as not good or bad, and the Kavanaugh confirmation as an event that increased confidence in Congress (good), then voters are clearly going to lean Right, as it was the Right that selected and promoted Kavanaugh, generating the increase in confidence in Congress. It can be no other way, assuming Rasmussen is correct, and we do.
Hillary Clinton last week urged Democrats not to be civil with Republicans over political issues, prompting rare disagreement from former First Lady Michelle Obama. Voters (all voters, not specifically Dem or Rep) also disagree with Clinton but, unlike her, don’t expect things to improve even if Democrats return to power in Congress. Again, if this “all voters” scenario plays out as measured, and of “all voters” expect more of the same if the Dems win in November, we see the voters choosing Right in greater numbers specifically driven by the Kavanaugh confirmation.
We think Trump will hold the House and the Senate, and that Cruz will defeat Robert “Beto” O’Rourke, in part because Robert “Beto” O’Rourke looks really bad in a dress. Anyone have some Foss mp3’s or flac’s?